mardi 7 février 2012

HAROLD JEFFREYS THEORY OF PROBABILTY AND OCKHAMS RASOR

http://www.newton.ac.uk/preprints/NI08021.pdf

Harold Jeffreys said yesterday what he would say today that The simplist explaination Ochams rasor the simplist explaination that can make make mathematical predictions is not the most correct or probable.
So Einsteins dice may be the simplist idea that there are two answers to everything that can be added in tandem.
But the more complex idea of Einsteins that there is one answer to everything.
Is more probable and more correct.We can say that the planets revolve around the earth that is the simplist explaination but the more correct explaination is that the earth and the planets revolve around the sun.
In the same way we can say that everything is explained by 2+2=4 but the more probable equation is that 1/3 APPLE+ 1/3 ORANGE+ 1/3 ORANGE= 1 APPLE/ORANGE........
Just because we can explain everything as having two answers does not mean it is the correct explaination one is correct in this instance and one is wrong.
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